GONG Li-juan,JIANG Lan-qi,LI Xiu-fen,et al.Optimization of Soybean Planting Space in Heilongjiang Province Based on Climate Potential Productivity[J].Soybean Science,2021,40(05):643-652.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2021.05.0643]
基于气候生产潜力的黑龙江省大豆种植空间优化
- Title:
- Optimization of Soybean Planting Space in Heilongjiang Province Based on Climate Potential Productivity
- Keywords:
- Soybean; Heilongjiang Province; Climate potential productivity; Radiation; Temperature; Precipitation; Response
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为定量评估黑龙江省大豆气候生产潜力的变化特征,明晰大豆增产潜力,优化大豆种植空间。选取黑龙江省1971—2019年61个气象站点逐日气象资料和对应产量资料,采用逐步订正法、线性趋势分析等方法,研究大豆光合、光温和气候生产潜力的时空变化特征,分析辐射、气温和降水等气候要素变化对大豆气候生产潜力的影响,估算大豆增产潜力。采用自然断点法将大豆增产潜力进行分区,引导黑龙江省大豆种植空间优化。结果表明:黑龙江省大豆光合、光温和气候生产潜力平均值分别为7 121.0,4 677.1和3 074.3 kg? hm-2;光合生产潜力呈下降趋势-6.4 kg?hm-2?10a-1,光温和气候生产潜力表现为极显著的上升趋势,分别为152.3和102.8 kg?hm-2?10a-1;大豆气候生产潜力空间上表现为由南向北递减趋势,高值区集中在松嫩平原东部;气候要素变化对大豆气候生产潜力影响不同,气温变化对大豆气候生产潜力的影响为正效应,辐射和降水变化对大豆气候生产潜力影响空间差异显著,辐射变化对平原地区大豆气候生产潜力为负效应,降水变化对对黑龙江省两大平原表现为正效应;根据气候生产潜力将黑龙江省划分为5个种植潜力区,松嫩平原和三江平原西部为黑龙江省大豆种植的优势和较优潜力区,可适当增加种植规模。
- Abstract:
- In order to quantitatively evaluate the variation characteristics of soybean climate potential productivity and reveal the yield potential of soybean and optimize soybean planting space,this study quantified the temporal and spatial evolution of soybean photosynthesis,light-temperature and climate potential productivity by using the methods of step-by-step revision and linear trend analysis,based on the daily meteorological data and yield data of 61 meteorological stations in Heilongjiang Province from 1971 to 2019.We analyzed the effects of climate factors such as radiation,temperature and precipitation on soybean climate potential productivity.The yield potential of soybean was estimated.The natural breakpoint method was used to divide soybean yield potential and optimize soybean planting space in Heilongjiang Province.The results showed that the average photosynthetic potential productivity,light-temperature potential productivity and climate potential productivity of soybean in Heilongjiang Province were 7 121.0,4 677.1 and 3 074.3 kg?ha-1.The photosynthetic potential productivity exhibited a downward trend -6.4 kg?ha-1?10a-1,and a significant upward trend in light-temperature and climate potential productivity,which were 152.3 and 102.8 kg?ha-1?10a-1,respectively.The climate potential productivity of soybean decreased from south to north,and the high value area was concentrated in the east of Songnen Plain.Climate change had different effects on climate potential productivity of soybean.Temperature change had a positive effect on climate potential productivity of soybean.However,radiation and precipitation change had significant spatial difference on climate potential productivity.Radiation change had a negative effect on climate potential productivity of soybean in plain area,and precipitation change had a positive effect on two plains of Heilongjiang Province.Furthermore,according to the climate potential productivity,there were five planting areas proposed.Songnen Plain and the west of Sanjiang Plain were the advantageous and sub-advantageous planting areas of soybean in Heilongjiang Province,and could increase planting scale appropriately.
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备注/Memo
收稿日期:2021-03-02