[1]周静,谷强平,等.中国大豆进口依赖性及其对大豆进口安全的影响[J].大豆科学,2015,34(03):503-506.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-841.2015.03.0503]
　ZHOU Jing,GU Qiang-ing,DU Ji-ao.Soybean Import Dependence and Its Effect on Soybean Import Security in China[J].Soybean Science,2015,34(03):503-506.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-841.2015.03.0503]
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中国大豆进口依赖性及其对大豆进口安全的影响

《大豆科学》[ISSN:1000-9841/CN:23-1227/S] 卷: 第34卷 期数: 2015年03期 页码: 503-506 栏目: 出版日期: 2015-06-25
Title:
Soybean Import Dependence and Its Effect on Soybean Import Security in China
作者:
周静1; 谷强平1;  2; 杜吉到3
1.沈阳农业大学 经济管理学院，辽宁 沈阳 110866；?
2.黑龙江八一农垦大学 会计学院，黑龙江 大庆 163319；?
3. 黑龙江八一农垦大学 农学院，黑龙江 大庆 163319
Author(s):
ZHOU Jing1;  GU Qiang-ing1; 2;  DU Ji-ao3
1.College of Economic and Management, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang，110866,China;?
2. College of Accounting, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, 163319, China;?
3. College of Agriculture, Heilongjiang Bayi Agricultural University, Daqing, 163319,China
关键词:
大豆; 进口依赖性; 进口安全
Keywords:
Soybean;  Import dependence;  Import security
DOI:
10.11861/j.issn.1000-841.2015.03.0503
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为判断大豆进口来源的可靠性，增强进口安全性，通过综合考察我国从某国进口大豆量占我国进口大豆总量的比重、某国对我国出口大豆金额占该国出口大豆总金额的比重、某出口国的大豆产量占世界大豆产量的比重等指标，测算了我国大豆进口对主要来源国的依赖系数，并进一步评价了进口安全性。结果表明：我国大豆进口主要依赖美国和巴西，但对美国的依赖迅速减弱，系数从2000年的0.893 1降至2013年的0.180 8，而对巴西的依赖缓慢增强，系数从2000年的0.159 0上升至2013年的0.197 2。总的来看，大豆进口仍处于相对安全的状态。
Abstract:
To judge the reliability of the sources and enhance the import safety, the relationship between China and the main sources of China’s soybean import markets was studied. The study focused on the following aspects: Identifying the proportion of the value share of China’s soybean imported from each source country to the total import value from the world, the proportion of the value share of soybean exported from a source country to China to the total export value to the world, the proportion of the value share of soybean output from a source country to the total output value from the world. The dependency coefficients of China’s import and import safety were also estimated. The results indicated that China’s import of soybean mainly depended on USA and Brazil, however, the dependence on USA weakened rapidly, the coefficients fell from 0.893 1 in 2000 to 0.180 8 in 2013, and dependence on Brazil increased slowly, the coefficient raised from 0.159 0 in 2000 to 0.197 2 in 2013. On the whole, the dependence of China’s soybean imports on USA and Brazil is stronger, but still in relatively safe.

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备注/Memo

基金项目：国家“十二五”科技支撑项目（2012BAD20B04-）；黑龙江八一农垦大学校内课题（XRW2014-7）。

第一作者简介：周静（1963-，女，教授，博导，主要从事农业产业组织与管理研究。E-ail：438799196@qq.com。

更新日期/Last Update: 2015-07-16