黑龙江省大豆渍害过程雨量指标构建
- Title:
- Establishment of Process Rainfall Indices of Soybean Waterlogging in Heilongjiang Province
- 摘要:
- 为定量评估黑龙江省大豆渍害灾损程度,本文以黑龙江省为研究区域,大豆为研究对象,基于研究区75个气象站1961—2022年长时间序列大豆渍害历史资料、降水量资料及27个农业气象站1980—2022年大豆生育期资料,利用柯尔莫哥罗夫-斯米尔诺夫检验及置信区间阈值法,构建黑龙江省大豆关键生育期渍害过程雨量等级指标,通过预留的渍害样本进行指标验证,同时分析研究区大豆渍害时空分布特征。结果表明:降水过程在1~5 d范围内大豆轻、中、重度渍害雨量下限值,出苗~三真叶期分别为53,86和111 mm,开花~结荚期分别为62,95和113 mm;降水过程6~7 d大豆轻、中、重度渍害雨量下限值,出苗~三真叶期分别为90,113和147 mm,开花~结荚期分别为97,119和140 mm。黑龙江省大豆渍害平均发生次数高值区主要位于中部、东北部、南部和西部局部地区,1981、1984、1985、1991、1994、1998、2012、2013、2017和2019年发生较多。指标验证结果及大豆渍害时空分布特征与历史灾情记录较吻合。研究结果对黑龙江省大豆安全生产具有重要意义。
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