[1]刘雅美,刘立,蓝菁.基于选择实验法的大豆种质农户选择偏好研究[J].大豆科学,2019,38(01):124-133.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2019.01.0124]
　LIU Ya-mei,LIU Li,LAN Jing.Farmers′ Planting Preferences for Soybean Germplasm based on Choice Experiment[J].Soybean Science,2019,38(01):124-133.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2019.01.0124]
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基于选择实验法的大豆种质农户选择偏好研究

《大豆科学》[ISSN:1000-9841/CN:23-1227/S] 卷: 第38卷 期数: 2019年01期 页码: 124-133 栏目: 出版日期: 2019-01-20
Title:
Farmers′ Planting Preferences for Soybean Germplasm based on Choice Experiment
作者:
刘雅美1; 刘立2; 蓝菁1
(1.南京农业大学 公共管理学院，江苏 南京 210095； 2.环境保护部 南京环境科学研究所，江苏 南京 210042)
Author(s):
LIU Ya-mei1; LIU Li2; LAN Jing1
（1.College of Public Administration，Nanjing Agricultural University，Nanjing 210095，China； 2.Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences，Ministry of Environmental Protection of the People′s Republic of China，Nanjing 210042，China）
关键词:
大豆种质属性; 偏好; 选择实验法; 经济价值
Keywords:
Soybean germplasm attributes;  Farmers′ planting preference;  Choice experiment;  Economic value
DOI:
10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2019.01.0124
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
农业部于2016年提出“调减玉米，增加大豆”的农业供给侧结构改革，在国产大豆产量和效益低，农民种植意愿不强的背景下，本研究立足于农户种植意愿，利用山东省381户农民对不同大豆种质属性选择的数据，运用选择实验法与多元Logit模型研究农户对大豆种质属性选择偏好并测算各属性经济价值。以低产、早熟、倒伏和低抗病虫的大豆为参照组，研究结果显示：(1)农户对大豆种质属性的选择偏好：抗倒伏>倒伏，高产>中产≥低产，中熟>早熟>晚熟，中抗病虫>高抗病虫>低抗病虫；(2)虽然农户种植大豆的用途有所差异，但是对大豆种质属性选择偏好基本一致；(3)大豆各品种市价低于其种质各属性加总价值，种质经济价值被市场低估。以上结果为提高农户种植大豆的积极性，制定合理的大豆种子市场价格体系，引导大豆育种产业的研究和发展，有效推进大豆产业供给侧改革提供了一定的科学依据。
Abstract:
In 2016, the Ministry of Agriculture proposed the supply-side structure reform program in agricultural sector named‘replacing corn with soybeans’, however, due to farmers were reluctant to plant soybeans, the yield and benefit of domestic soybean planting were low. Based on survey data from 381 farmers′ selection of different soybean germplasm attributes in Shandong province, this study examines farmers′ planting preference for different soybean attributes by adopting the choice experiment and multiple logit model, and then calculates the economic value for each attribute respectively. By taking soybeans with low yields, early maturity, lodging and low resistance to disease as the reference group, our results showed that: (1) Farmers′ planting preferences (with respect to soybean germplasm attributes selection) as following, lodging resistance>lodging, high production>middle production≥low production, medium maturity>early maturing>late maturing, middle resistance>high resistance≥low resistance to pests. (2)Though the purposes for soybeans planting were different, farmers′ planting preferences were consistent for different soybean uses. (3)The market prices of soybeans were lower than the total value of attributes for the targeted soybean varieties, and so the economic value of the soybean germplasm was underestimated by the market. The above evidences provide certain scientific supports for improving farmers′ willingness to plant soybeans, design appropriate market price system of soybeans, guide research and development in soybean breeding industry and effectively promote the supply-side structure reform in soybean industry.

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备注/Memo

收稿日期：2018-07-01

基金项目：江苏高校哲学社会科学重点项目(2017ZDIXM098)。
第一作者简介：刘雅美（1994-），女，硕士，主要从事资源环境经济与可持续发展研究。E-mail:2016109003@njau.edu.cn。
通讯作者：蓝菁(1983-)，女，博士，副教授，主要从事资源环境经济与可持续发展、土地经济与政策研究。E-mail：lanjing@njau.edu.cn。

更新日期/Last Update: 2019-01-22