YANG Xiao-juan,LIU Yuan,BAI Wei,et al.Production Distribution Analysis and Premiumrate Decision of Soybean in Heilongjiang Province[J].Soybean Science,2015,34(03):507-511.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2015.03.0507]
黑龙江大豆种植格局及相应保险费率厘定变化分析
- Title:
- Production Distribution Analysis and Premiumrate Decision of Soybean in Heilongjiang Province
- Keywords:
- Cultivated area; Yield distribution model; Premium
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 在黑龙江大豆种植面积锐减和自然灾害加重的背景下，掌握大豆种植格局和相应的纯费率对制定大豆种植政策和保险政策，保障大豆粮食安全有重要意义。本研究依据1993~2012年黑龙江13个地市和农垦总局（ARB）20年的播种面积和产量数据，运用统计学和单产分布模拟推导法分析了黑龙江播种面积和分布格局变化，并厘定了相应的大豆保险纯费率。结果表明：黑龙江大豆播种面积在2009年达到最大，随后逐年锐减，2012年为260万hm2，仅为2009的53.%。2012年，齐齐哈尔、黑河和农垦总局为黑龙江大豆三大种植区，占全省的56.5%，费率分别为6.2%、3.6%和2.9%，全省13个地市和农垦总局的费率范围是2.9%～8.9%，平均值为5.6%。齐齐哈尔种植规模大，费率相对较高，在灾害防御投入、财政补贴等方面宜优先考虑。
- Abstract:
- The information of spatial and temporal distribution and premium of soybean .Symbol`@@were very useful for making planting and insurance policy, which could guarantee food security in the background of soybean sown area decreased sharply and natural disaster increased gradually in Heilongjiang. According to the data ofsoybean sown area and yield of 13 cities and ABR of Heilongjiang from 1993 to 2012, the spatial and temporal variation of soybean production were analyzed using statistics method and yield distribution model soybean premium of 14.The results indicated that the soybean sown area reached maximum in 2009, then continuing year-by-year sharp declines, and in 2012, the sown area was 2 600 thousand hectares, which was only 53.5% of 2009. Qiqihaer, Heihe and ARB werethe 3 main soybean planting areas accounting for 56.85% of, and the corresponding premium were 6.52%，3.96% and 2.29% in Qiqihar, Heihe and ARB, respectively. the soybean premium of Heilongjiang was in the range of 2.29%-8.79%，and the average was 5.06%. More consideration in the aspects of disaster prevention and financial subsidize needed to give Qiqiher due to the large sown area and high premium of soybean.
参考文献/References:
［1］王克，张峭.农作物单产风险分布对保险费率厘定的影响—以新疆3县（市）棉花单产保险为例［J］.中国农业大学学报，2010,15(2):114-120。（Wang K, Zhang Q. Influence of flexible crop yield distributions on cropinsurance premium rate:A case study on cotton insurance in three counties of Xinjiang province［J］. Journal of China Agricultural University,2010,15(2):114-120）
相似文献/References:
[1]宋迎波,王建林,陈晖,等.美国大豆种植面积估算方法研究[J].大豆科学,2008,27(03):423.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2008.03.0423]
SONG Ying-bo,WANG Jian-lin,CHEN Hui,et al.Method for Estimating Soybean Planting Areas in America[J].Soybean Science,2008,27(03):423.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2008.03.0423]
备注/Memo
基金项目：国家自然科学基金青年基金（41301594）。