[1]黄春艳　马淑梅　朱传楹　张增敏　郭梅　李宝英　唐立新.大豆灰斑病流行趋势预测及产量损失研究[J].大豆科学,1998,17(01):48-52.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.1998.01.0048]
　Hua ng ChunyanMa ShumeiZhu Chua nyingZhang ZengminGuo MeiLi BaoyingTa ng Lix in.STUDY ON FORECAST FOR EPIDEMICAL TENDENCY AND YIELDLOSS OF SOYBEAN FROGEYE LEAF SPOT[J].Soybean Science,1998,17(01):48-52.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.1998.01.0048]
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大豆灰斑病流行趋势预测及产量损失研究

《大豆科学》[ISSN:1000-9841/CN:23-1227/S] 卷: 第17卷 期数: 1998年01 页码: 48-52 栏目: 出版日期: 1998-02-20
Title:
STUDY ON FORECAST FOR EPIDEMICAL TENDENCY AND YIELDLOSS OF SOYBEAN FROGEYE LEAF SPOT
作者:
黄春艳　马淑梅　朱传楹　张增敏　郭梅　李宝英　唐立新
(黑龙江省农科院　哈尔滨　150086)
Author(s):
Hua ng Chunyan　Ma Shumei　Zhu Chua nyingZhang Zengmin　Guo Mei　Li Baoying　Ta ng Lix in
( Heilong j iang Academ y of A gricultural Sciences, Harbin 150086)
关键词:
大豆灰斑病;  流行趋势预测;  产量损失
Keywords:
Soy bean f rog ey e leaf spot;  Epidemical tendency fo recasting;  Yield lo ss
DOI:
10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.1998.01.0048
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
采用因子分析和逐步回归的方法对佳木斯地区1981- 1994年间大豆灰斑病发生程度和相应年份的相关气象资料进行整理分析,筛选出5个非特殊灾变年份大豆灰斑病流行趋势预测初始数学模型。在80% 置信区间内,模型历史回拟率分别达92. 9%— 100% 。对田间试验定点调查所得的大豆不同抗性品种的病情与大豆产量损失的数据资料进行相关分析,结果表明,抗病品种和感病品种的病叶率、病荚率、病粒率与大豆产量损失率间均呈直线正相关,相关系数均达极显著水平。
Abstract:
Through a nalysing the relatio nship betw een epidemical tendency of soy bean frog eyeleaf spo t and the rela tiv e meteo ro logical informa tio n f rom 1981- 1994 in Jiamusi regio n,Heilong jiang province, by using facto rial analysis and stepw ise reg ression, the primarymathematic models of fo recast fo r epidemical tendency o f so ybean f ro geye leaf spot fo rnonpa rticular calamity year w ere established. Thei r histo rical fi tness are 92. 9% - 100%respectiv ely. By analysing the data of yield loss and di sease, the result show ed thatthere w ere posi tiv e linear correlatio ns, betw een yield loss of so ybean wi th disease sev erityof leaf, po t , and g rains in cultiva rs bo th resista nt and susceptible.

参考文献/References:

[1 ]　张明厚主编, 1995,《油料作物病害》,中国农业出版社, P27～ 28

[2 ]　许忠仁等, 1988, 黑龙江省大豆灰斑病发生现状及防治决策,植物保护, 13( 2): 2～ 4
[3 ]　马淑梅, 1992, 黑龙江省大豆灰斑病研究现状,植物保护, ( 4): 34～ 36
[4 ]　黄春艳等, 1996, 稻瘟病综合防治决策模型的研究,植物保护学报, 23( 4): 289～ 292

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更新日期/Last Update: 2017-01-13