[1]杨辉,林嘉柏,林佳.外生冲击下中国大豆产业安全：现状、挑战与机遇[J].大豆科学,2022,41(03):352-357.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2022.03.0352]
　YANG Hui,LIN Jia-bai,LIN Jia.Analysis of China′s Soybean Industry Safety under Exogenous Impact: Current Situation， Challenges and Opportunities[J].Soybean Science,2022,41(03):352-357.[doi:10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2022.03.0352]
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外生冲击下中国大豆产业安全：现状、挑战与机遇

《大豆科学》[ISSN:1000-9841/CN:23-1227/S] 卷: 第41卷 期数: 2022年03期 页码: 352-357 栏目: 出版日期: 2022-05-20
Title:
Analysis of China′s Soybean Industry Safety under Exogenous Impact: Current Situation， Challenges and Opportunities
作者:
杨辉1; 2; 林嘉柏1; 林佳3
（1.东北农业大学 经济管理学院，黑龙江省 哈尔滨 150030； 2.东北农业大学 现代农业发展研究中心，黑龙江省 哈尔滨 150030； 3.哈尔滨应用职业技术学院，黑龙江省 哈尔滨 150030）
Author(s):
YANG Hui1; 2; LIN Jia-bai1; LIN Jia3
(1.School of Economics and Management, Northeastern Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China; 2.Agricultural Development Research Center for Modern Agriculture, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China; 3.Harbin Applied Vocational and Technical College, Harbin 150030, China)
关键词:
大豆产业; 外生冲击; 进口来源; 产业安全
Keywords:
soybean industry;  external impact;  import source;  industry security
DOI:
10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2022.03.0352
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
2018年以来，中美贸易摩擦频发，新冠疫情在全球范围内持续发酵，大豆贸易不确定性加剧。一系列的外生冲击改变了国际贸易环境，也使我国大豆产业发展面临巨大的挑战。本文通过梳理我国大豆产业的现状，分析了多重冲击给大豆国际贸易及我国大豆产业安全带来的重大影响。指出我国大豆进口来源高度集中，外生冲击引发的大豆市场动荡为我国大豆贸易的长期发展带来隐患，但也具备潜在的发展机遇。我国应当利用好外生冲击发生的时机，结合“一带一路”国家战略积极拓宽大豆进口来源，降低进口高度依赖的风险，保障我国大豆产业持续安全健康发展。
Abstract:
Since 2018， Sino-Us trade friction have occurred frequently. The COVID-19 pandemic has continued to ferment globally， and the uncertainty of soybean trade has intensified. This paper analyzed the impact of multiple shocks on soybean international trade and China′s soybean industry security. It is pointed out that the source of soybean import was highly concentrated in China， and the instability of soybean market caused by exogenous shock brings hidden danger to the long-term development of China’s soybean trade， but it also had potential development opportunity. China should make good use of the opportunity of exogenous shocks， and actively broaden the source of soybean imports combined with the national strategy of ‘The Belt and Road’ to reduce the risk of high dependence on imports， and ensure the sustainable， safe and healthy development of China′s soybean industry.Keywords:

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

收稿日期：2021-11-02

基金项目：黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目重点课题（21JYA005）。
第一作者：杨辉(1977—)，男，副教授，硕导，主要从事产业经济研究。E-mail:44290879@qq.com。

更新日期/Last Update: 2022-06-30