|Table of Contents|

Research on Reverse Globalization and Soybean Meal Alternatives(PDF)

《大豆科学》[ISSN:1000-9841/CN:23-1227/S]

Issue:
2019年05期
Page:
786-792
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Research on Reverse Globalization and Soybean Meal Alternatives
Author(s):
(School of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China)
Keywords:
Inverse globalization;  Soybean meal;  Alternative;  Optimization analysis
PACS:
-
DOI:
10.11861/j.issn.1000-9841.2019.05.0786
Abstract:
The demand for soybeans in China′s soybean market is mainly from soybeans, soybean oil and soybean meal, and 80% of imported soybeans are used to produce soybean meal. The supply gap of soybeans during the period of tight trade friction directly leads to a rapid increase in the price of soybean meal, while the recent trade friction eases and the frequent occurrence of African swine fever lead to a weaker trend of soybean meal. The large fluctuations in soybean meal prices have limited the development of China′s feed and aquaculture industry to some extent. Therefore, this article focued on how to reduce the market share of soybean meal, reduce the impact of soybean meal price fluctuations on related industries, and find low-content soybean meal feed substitute products that can bring higher economic benefits. Taking live pigs as an example, 28 constraints were established based on the minimum nutritional standards required for their growth and development. The most critical cost and expense issues were identified as objective functions, and Lingo software was used to find the optimal solution. Through analysis and modeling, the most reasonable alternatives under the existing conditions were obtained, and the sensitivity of the model was analysized to verify its effectiveness. Finally, the promotion strategy of the model was stated.

References:

［1］徐宏潇,赵硕刚.特朗普政府“逆全球化”:动向、根源、前景及应对［J］.经济问题,2019(2):13-18.(Xu H W, Zhao S G.Trump administration ‘Reverse Globalization’:Trends, roots,prospects and responses［J］.Economic Issues,2019(2):13-18.)
［2］夏敏.美国贸易政策制定中的观念、偏好与策略选择［J］.国际经济评论,2018(6):98-116.(Xia M.Concepts,preference and strategy choice in American trade policy formulation［J］.International Economic Review,2018(6):98-116.)
［3］谷强平,周静,杜吉到.基于贸易视角的中国大豆产业安全分析［J］.大豆科学,2015,34(2):314-319.(Gu Q P,Zhou J, Du J D. Analysis of China′s soybean industry safety based on trade perspective［J］.Soybean Science,2015,34(2):314-319.)
［4］张莹,张晋辉,李德发,等.氨基酸乳糖、乳清粉和乳糖在断奶仔猪日粮中应用效果比较［J］.中国饲料,1998(24):10-11.(Zhang Y, Zhang J H, Li D F, et al.Comparison of the effects of amino acid lactose, whey powder and lactose in weaned pig diets［J］.Chinese Feed,1998(24):10-11.)
［5］段晶,王婧瑶,吴莉芳,等.大豆蛋白源替代鱼粉蛋白对鱼类生长、消化及肠道组织的影响［J］.大豆科学,2018,37(3):477-482.(Duan J, Wang J Y,Wu L F,et al. Effects of soy protein sources on fish growth,digestion and intestinal tissues［J］.Soybean Science,2018,37(3):477-482.)
［6］Robert W K. Futures,options and swaps［M］.3th ed. Oxford :Blackwell Publishers,1999.
［7］华仁海,刘庆富.股指期货与股指现货市场间的价格发现能力探究［J］.数量经济技术经济研究,2010,27(10):90-100.(Hua R H,Liu Q F.Exploration of price discovery capability between stock index futures and stock index spot market［J］.Quantities Economics & Technology Research,2010,27(10):90-100.)
［8］王汝芳.大连商品交易所期货价格发现功能的实证分析——以大豆和玉米期货为例［J］.经济与管理研究,2009(8):91-94.(Wang R F.An empirical analysis of the futures price discovery function of dalian commodity exchange——Taking soybean and corn futures as examples［J］.Economic and Management Research,2009(8):91-94.)
［9］许祥云,何恋恋,高灵利.农产品政策如何影响国际市场对国内期货市场的价格传递效应——以棉花和豆类产品的收储及补贴政策为例［J］.世界经济研究,2016(6):55-68,135.（Xu X Y, He L L, Gao L L. How does agricultural product policy affect the price transfer effect of international market on domestic futures market——Taking the storage and subsidy policy of cotton and bean products as an example［J］. World Economic Research, 2016( 6): 55-68,135.）
［10］聂娟,王琴英.国际市场因素对我国大豆价格的传导效应分析［J］.价格理论与实践,2017(2):112-115.（Nie J,Wang Q Y.Analysis of the transmission effect of international market factors on China′s soybean price［J］.Price Theory and Practice,2017(2):112-115.）
［11］李思奇. 我国部分猪场饲料蛋白质水平和利用现状调研与分析［D］. 南京:南京农业大学,2016.（Li S Q. Investigation and analysis of feed protein levels and utilization status in some pig farms in China ［D］. Nanjing :Nanjing Agricultural University, 2016.）
［12］于树龙.低蛋白日粮平衡氨基酸对生长猪生长性能及氮排放的影响研究［D］.武汉：华中农业大学，2015. （Yu S L. Effects of aminoacid balance in low-protein diet on growth performance and nitrogen emission of growing pig［D］. Wuhan: Huazhong Agriculture University, 2015.)
［13］孙洁.中美贸易战带给中国农业新启示［J］.中国农村科技,2018(7):12-14.（Sun J. The new enlightenment brought by China-US trade war to Chinese agriculture［J］.China Rural Science and Technology,2018(7):12-14.）
［14］高勇红.中美贸易战对大豆及国内饲料工业的影响及趋势探讨［J］.北方牧业,2018(17):11-13.（Gao Y H. Discussion on the influence and trend of Sino-US trade war on soybean and domestic feed industry［J］.Northern Animal Husbandry,2018(17):11-13.）
［15］崔戈,焦玉平.国家粮食安全视角下的中国大豆贸易［J］.社会科学,2019(2):13-28.（Cui G, Jiao Y P. China′s soybean trade from the perspective of national food security［J］.Social Sciences,2019(2):13-28.）

Memo

Memo:
-
Last Update: 2019-09-20