Based on the quadratic orthogonal rationgal combination regression design of three factors and five levels,the examination experiment of effect of temperature,humidity of soil and depth of pupae in the soil on emergence of O.shibatsujii was carried out in laboratory.The models of quantity of emergence,y=11.28112-2928633x1+0.3461645x2+0.0765837x3+1.75x1x2+x1x3+0.75x2x2-4.688528x12-2.214028x22-0.976778x32,and rate of emergence of the insect pest,y=0.5680562-0.0146x1+0.173x2+0.038x3+0.0875x1x2+0.05x1x3+0.0375x2x3-0.2344x12-0.1107x22-0.0488x32,were established.The medels were available for forecast of the insect pest.